Modern Physics has long done away with the notion that we can know anything with certainty yet most management theories and practice seem to be based on a Newtonian view of 'knowability'. True leadership recognises that we never know what to do but this very uncertainty demands that we must act decisively.
As I write this The Age reports that overnight the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below 9000 points for the first time since 2003. Maybe by the time you read this it will have fallen below 8000. Maybe it will have recovered to be over 10,000. As I heard Craig James say at a business breakfast this morning, “No one knows.”
In all my experience as a consultant, the question I am most often asked is “How do we know what we should do?” This question comes in many forms. Sometimes my client acts as though I know exactly the solution to their problem – after all that’s what they pay me for isn’t it. Sometimes I feel like telling them not only do I have no idea of the solution, I’m not even sure what the problem is. Unfortunately I more often fall into the trap of believing the client’s trust in my omniscience is well placed. I believe that I should know the answer or at least, if I don’t. I should act as though I do. I justify this by convincing myself that if I work hard enough, study the client’s situation in enough detail and read enough of what ‘the experts’ say, both THE PROBLEM and THE ANSWER will become clear to me.
It is at times like this that I forget the greatest service I can give to my client is to not know. My client knows their business and their organisation better than I ever can. When I feel like I have to know, or have to look like I know I can’t ask the dumb questions that everyone wants to ask but no one dares. With grateful acknowledgment to a dear colleague, I call this the Colombo model of consulting.
The same is true for leadership. It takes courage to admit you don’t know what to do yet perhaps the greatest failures of leadership throughout history have been made by those who acted out of this fear. In the current economic situation, doing nothing is not an option. Global treasury officials and financial chiefs must act in the full knowledge that there is no higher authority to which they can turn who can provide them with just the right settings to avert a catastrophe, History will judge them harshly if they get it wrong.
This belief arises from the triumph of the industrial age where we have come to think of organisations as machines.
As Danah Zohar puts it:
Classical physics transmuted the living cosmos of Greek and medieval times, a cosmos filled with purpose and intelligence and driven by the love of God for the benefit of humans, into a dead, clockwork machine ... Things moved because they were fixed and determined; cold silence pervaded the once-teeming heavens. Human beings and their struggles, the whole of consciousness, and life itself were irrelevant to the workings of the vast universal machine” The Quantum Self: Human Nature and Consciousness Defined by the New Physics, 1990